What Happens if Ukraine Loses?

This is a question I’ve thought about a lot over the past year.

For the record, all my experience as a forecaster and analyst for the DoD is telling me that Ukraine will emerge from this fight victorious, yet forever changed.

Changed how and to what degree?

That’s a topic for another piece, but I believe it is still helpful to ask the scary questions if for no other reason than to visualize how important this fight truly is.

First, let’s define “lose.”