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Russia’s Military Cannot Sustain Offensive Operations in 2023
Will Russia be strong enough to launch a major offensive in the spring?
No. Here’s why…
Some analysts have the unrealistic expectation that Russia could build on its recent partial mobilization of 300,000 to 400,000 troops and launch a major offensive to take Kyiv.
These aren’t pro-Russian commentators or analysts friendly to Moscow who are saying this, rather, many are western and Ukrainian sources.
But these fears are often voiced by those who have a financial interest in fear itself — 24-hour cable news shows and other pundits (retired US generals) who profit from the ongoing conflict.
To understand the current state of the Russian ground force, we must understand the monumental changes that have affected the Russian military over the past ten months.
I’m not just talking about low morale or command and control issues — I’m saying the entire structure of Russia’s ground force has changed leaving the Kremlin with a military that is completely incapable of major offensive operations.
The destruction of the contract Russian soldier
Before Russia invaded Ukraine, the Federation could boast about 300,000 ground troops made up of 200,000 professional soldiers…
